Thursday, December 11, 2008

And Now Things Get a Little Crazy: Golden Globe Nominations 2008

HFPA announces the nominees for this year's Golden Globe Awards in Film.  Nominees below, with category-by-category commentary:

Best Picture, Drama

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Reader
Revolutionary Road
Slumdog Millionaire

Comments: I told you Frost/Nixon was going to play well with them.  And before the Internet collectively goes insane about "The Dark Knight" being on this Top 5 (which does seem a bit ironic considering how much the Globes love star-whoring) - Globes have not match 5/5 with Oscar for YEARS.  I don't think The Reader has the legwork to make it in this category, and it actually makes sense the Globes would go for it.  It's like when they nominated History of Violence and Eastern Promises - great picks, but it's just kind of that "moving outside the Academy" vote.  Button and Slumdog are LOCKS for Picture, with Frost/Nixon inching in (I still remain cynical about the whole movie).  Revolutionary Road gets the much-needed help I predicted it would.

Best Picture, Comedy/Musical

Burn After Reading
In Bruges
Mamma Mia!
Vicky Cristina Barcelona

Comments: None of these really have a shot at the Oscar.  Mamma Mia will probably win, with a Happy-Go-Lucky upset a possibility.

Best Director

Danny Boyle for Slumdog Millionaire
Stephen Daldry for The Reader
David Fincher for The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Ron Howard for Frost/Nixon
Sam Mendes for Revolutionary Road

Comments: Just re-read what I wrote for Best Picture, it's the same nominees.  Daldry will be the odd man out at Oscar, and this helps Mendes the most.

Best Actor in a Leading Role, Drama

Leonardo DiCaprio for Revolutionary Road
Frank Langella for Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn for Milk
Brad Pitt for The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke for The Wrestler

Comments: The Wrestler will become a performance movie and miss BP and BD.  I'm actually REALLY shocked Milk wasn't nominated for Best Picture or Best Director here, but the wealth of love from the critics (if the trend continues) should bolster it in Oscar's final five (especially if it gets Guild Support).  This GREATLY helps DiCaprio and Pitt.  Penn, Langella, and Rourke are now locks.

Best Actress in a Leading Role, Drama

Anne Hathaway for Rachel Getting Married
Angelina Jolie for Changeling
Meryl Streep for Doubt
Kristin Scott Thomas for I've Loved You So Long
Kate Winslet for Revolutionary Road

Comments: This is looking like the probably Oscar setup, although I think Jolie or Thomas might ultimately get dumped.  Winslet and Streep will duke this one out.  I bet on Streep.

Best Supporting Actor

Tom Cruise for Tropic Thunder
Robert Downey Jr. for Tropic Thunder
Ralph Fiennes for The Duchess
Philip Seymour Hoffman for Doubt
Heath Ledger for The Dark Knight

Comments: I'm not going to lie, I actually love the Globes Supp Actor category because it's always so bizarre and random.  Ledger should have no problem with a win here, and Hoffman and Downey help their Oscar chances.  I pray for an Oscar nod for Downey.

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams for Doubt
Penelope Cruz for Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis for Doubt
Marisa Tomei for The Wrestler
Kate Winslet for The Reader

Comments: I think at least three of these women will get Oscar nods, but I won't say which.  Cruz is the early favorite to win, but don't underestimate Winslet.

Best Actor in a Leading Role, Comedy

Javier Bardem for Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Colin Farrel for In Bruges
James Franco for Pineapple Express
Brendan Gleason for In Bruges
Dustin Hoffman for Last Chance Harvey

Comments: The nomination for James Franco makes me almost like the HFPA again.  None of these guys have a shot at the Oscar, but how great that BOTH In Bruges actors AND Pineapple Express get on here

Best Actress in a Leading Role, Comedy

Rebecca Hall for Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Sally Hawkins for Happy-Go-Lucky
Frances McDormand for Burn After Reading
Meryl Streep for Mamma Mia
Emma Thompson for Last Chance Harvey

Comments: Hawkins will win and will stake her claim to be the Oscar crossover

Best Foreign Language Film

The Baader Meinhof Complex
Everlasting Moments
I've Loved You So Long
Waltz With Bashir

Comments: The last three I think will get Oscar nods.  I have no idea who will win this (randomly picking...I've Loved You So Long)

Best Animated Feature

Kung Fu Panda

Best Screenplay

Slumdog Millionaire
The Reader
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Best Original Score

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Slumdog Millionaire

Best Song

Down to Earth, Wall-E
Gran Torino, Gran Torino
I Thought I Lost You, Bolt
Once in a Lifetime, Cadillac Records
The Wrestler, The Wrestler

Noms were pretty well-spread.  Ben Button, Doubt, Frost/Nixon scored 5 each. Reader, Rev Road, Slumdog, and Vicky Cristina scored 4 each.

I may come back with a larger update and analysis later.  Despite the absence of TDK this is actually pretty much how I pictured the Globes going down.

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